🦐 Polymarket 模拟盘

BTC 现价

$77,177

全账户总盈亏

$-1915

账户概览 · 各品种 $1,000 初始 / 目标 $10,000

品种	余额	持仓	总估值	盈亏	目标进度	胜率
BTC	$103	3	$344	$-656 (-65.6%)	3%	35%
ETH	$166	0	$166	$-834 (-83.4%)	2%	33%
SOL	$800	0	$800	$-200 (-20.0%)	8%	0%
BNB	$1,000	0	$1,000	+$0 (+0.0%)	10%	—
黄金	$911	1	$942	$-58 (-5.8%)	9%	—
白银	$1,000	0	$1,000	+$0 (+0.0%)	10%	—
原油	$611	3	$832	$-168 (-16.8%)	8%	25%
合计	$4,591	—	$5,085	$-1915	—	34%

胜率统计 · 已结算交易

BTC

35%

盈44 亏83 · 127笔

$-715

ETH

33%

盈14 亏28 · 42笔

$-834

SOL

盈0 亏1 · 1笔

$-200

BNB

—

盈0 亏0 · 0笔

+$0

黄金

—

盈0 亏0 · 0笔

+$0

白银

—

盈0 亏0 · 0笔

+$0

原油

25%

盈2 亏6 · 8笔

$-164

累计收益曲线 · 全账户合并

当前持仓 · 7 个

BTC 仓

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?

No 均价0.775 现价$1.000

成本$112.04 市值$144.50 +$32.46 (+29.0%)

BTC 仓

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?

No 均价0.585 现价$1.000

成本$41.94 市值$71.66 +$29.72 (+70.9%)

BTC 仓

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

No 均价0.485 现价$0.465

成本$25.42 市值$24.37 $-1.05 (-4.1%)

黄金仓

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?

Yes 均价0.252 现价$0.090

成本$88.60 市值$31.88 $-56.72 (-64.0%)

原油仓

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?

Yes 均价0.145 现价$0.155

成本$46.76 市值$49.98 +$3.22 (+6.9%)

原油仓

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?

Yes 均价0.075 现价$0.065

成本$25.72 市值$22.29 $-3.43 (-13.3%)

原油仓

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?

Yes 均价0.845 现价$0.830

成本$152.06 市值$149.36 $-2.70 (-1.8%)

最近交易（全账户合并）

扫描日志

更新: 2026-05-01 06:06 UTC · 拉取: 2500 · 关键词筛选后: 219 · 信号触发: 6

现货: BTC $77,144 ETH $2,285 SOL $84.06 BNB $618 GOLD $4,618 SILVER $74.42 OIL $105

30日波动率: BTC 1.91% ETH 2.74% SOL 2.65% BNB 1.80% GOLD 1.83% SILVER 3.02% OIL 5.96%

跳过 Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? $5,821,653 价格极端 (Yes=1.4%，接近结算)

跳过 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in May? $387,211 价格极端 (Yes=100.0%，接近结算)

跳过 Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? $297,136 价格极端 (Yes=0.1%，接近结算)

跳过 Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April? $242,394 价格极端 (Yes=0.1%，接近结算)

OIL✅ Yes Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May? $239,284 edge=19.8% true=28.3% mkt=8.5%

跳过 Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April? $203,574 价格极端 (Yes=0.1%，接近结算)

跳过 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May? $190,199 价格极端 (Yes=99.9%，接近结算)

跳过 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 1? $185,394 价格极端 (Yes=99.8%，接近结算)

跳过 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 1? $160,097 价格极端 (Yes=99.4%，接近结算)

跳过 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 1? $152,245 价格极端 (Yes=0.1%，接近结算)

跳过 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 1? $147,112 价格极端 (Yes=100.0%，接近结算)

跳过 Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April? $121,324 价格极端 (Yes=0.1%，接近结算)

OIL✅ Yes Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May? $116,250 edge=16.4% true=68.9% mkt=52.5%

跳过 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 1? $91,901 价格极端 (Yes=1.0%，接近结算)

跳过 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 1? $88,439 价格极端 (Yes=0.1%，接近结算)

跳过 Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April? $84,626 价格极端 (Yes=0.1%，接近结算)

OIL✅ Yes Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May? $76,210 edge=22.1% true=52.1% mkt=30.0%

OIL✅ Yes Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May? $74,475 edge=23.7% true=38.7% mkt=15.0%

跳过 Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April? $71,492 价格极端 (Yes=0.1%，接近结算)

BTC✅ No Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 1? $71,201 edge=67.3% true=22.2% mkt=89.5%

BTC跳过 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 1? $70,690 边缘值不足 (18.2% < 36%(短线×3)) (edge=18.2% true=36.7% mkt=18.5%)

跳过 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 1? $69,870 价格极端 (Yes=100.0%，接近结算)

OIL跳过 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? $67,084 边缘值不足 (0.0% < 12%)

跳过 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June? $65,870 价格极端 (Yes=4.5%，接近结算)

跳过 Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12AM ET $63,312 价格极端 (Yes=0.1%，接近结算)

跳过 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? $58,926 价格极端 (Yes=4.8%，接近结算)

OIL✅ Yes Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May? $58,664 edge=15.5% true=22.0% mkt=6.5%

BTC跳过 Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? $55,985 无法解析目标价格

更新: 2026-04-29 18:01 UTC · 发现市场: 0 个 · 决策记录: 0 条

暂无记录（等待下次 late_entry_v3 执行）